u***r
发帖数: 4825 | 1 http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2010/12/29/is-mexico-chinas-futu
By Bob Davis
During the past 30 years, China’s growth has left Mexico’s in the dust,
even though both countries have liberalized their economies, vastly turned
to foreign trade and shed many of the constraints imposed by one-party rule.
Indeed, Mexico has gone much further than China in the latter area, turning
itself into a genuine democracy in the mid-1990s after decades of single-
party control.
Economists Timothy Kehoe of the University of Minnesota and Kim Ruhl of New
York University explore in a paper just how difficult it is for a country
to leap from what the World Bank calls “middle income” status to the ranks
of advanced nations. South Korea and Singapore are nearly alone in having
made that transition. Most every other poor nation — whether one calls them
“third world,” “developing” or “emerging” — gets stuck in second-
tier, Mexican-style status.
“Absent continuing reforms,” the economists argue, “Chinese growth is
likely to slow down sharply, perhaps leaving China at a level less than
Mexico’s” — an outcome that would be a hard slap to the China-as-future
crowd.
While Mexico and China seem very different, the economists point out a
number of similarities. On the positive side, the two nations focused on
foreign trade as a growth engine and they eased central government control
of the economy. On the negative side, their financial systems are
inefficient, their non-tradable industries (communications, transportation
and the like) lack competition; and their rigid labor rules discourage
employers from adding full-time workers.
The economists argue that despite the handicaps, developing nations can make
big leaps in growth as they catch up with countries like the U.S. Mexico
made its big leap forward in growth from 1953 to 1981; China has been making
its move since around 1980. Mexico’s GDP per-capita is now about twice
China’s, according to the International Monetary Fund.
Once that catch-up period is over, however, the countries need to continue
to reform institutions and policies to produce a well-functioning government
an efficient financial system and a steady increase in knowledge so it can
continue to grow smartly. Few countries manage that transition, which leaves
them well behind the U.S. and Europe.
“How far short of the industrial leader the (developing) country levels off
depends on its institutions and economic policies,” the economists write.
The biggest hurdles remain. | s******p
发帖数: 4962 | 2 review太有喜感了
rule.
turning
New
【在 u***r 的大作中提到】
: http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2010/12/29/is-mexico-chinas-futu
: By Bob Davis
: During the past 30 years, China’s growth has left Mexico’s in the dust,
: even though both countries have liberalized their economies, vastly turned
: to foreign trade and shed many of the constraints imposed by one-party rule.
: Indeed, Mexico has gone much further than China in the latter area, turning
: itself into a genuine democracy in the mid-1990s after decades of single-
: party control.
: Economists Timothy Kehoe of the University of Minnesota and Kim Ruhl of New
: York University explore in a paper just how difficult it is for a country
| c*********k
发帖数: 4747 | 3 中国的人均GDP墨西哥那水平,中国做为一个整体,强大的军事政治力量必然能帮助中国
获取更多的利益...
所以,要抑制中国,还是得多花钱在NED身上养老将,内部分裂. | c*********k
发帖数: 4747 | 4 中国的人均GDP墨西哥那水平,中国做为一个整体,强大的军事政治力量必然能帮助中国
获取更多的利益...
所以,要抑制中国,还是得多花钱在NED身上养老将,内部分裂. | c*********k
发帖数: 4747 | 5 中国的人均GDP墨西哥那水平,中国做为一个整体,强大的军事政治力量必然能帮助中国
获取更多的利益...
所以,要抑制中国,还是得多花钱在NED身上养老将,内部分裂. | N*******d
发帖数: 5641 | 6 日本算不算从落后国家发展起来的
无所谓了，反正人都是捡自己喜欢的说，中国崩溃的说法也不是才有的
rule.
turning
New
【在 u***r 的大作中提到】
: http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2010/12/29/is-mexico-chinas-futu
: By Bob Davis
: During the past 30 years, China’s growth has left Mexico’s in the dust,
: even though both countries have liberalized their economies, vastly turned
: to foreign trade and shed many of the constraints imposed by one-party rule.
: Indeed, Mexico has gone much further than China in the latter area, turning
: itself into a genuine democracy in the mid-1990s after decades of single-
: party control.
: Economists Timothy Kehoe of the University of Minnesota and Kim Ruhl of New
: York University explore in a paper just how difficult it is for a country
| o****o
发帖数: 8077 | 7 这些傻逼文章就是为了让中国全面开放金融市场，好让MiY进来肆无忌惮地喝血铺路来着 | i***h
发帖数: 12655 | | f**x
发帖数: 4325 | 9 既去过中国又去过墨西哥的人里边，只有脑残才有这种问题 | S****e
发帖数: 10596 | 10 回复确实比较搞
10:28 pm January 1, 2011
China or US? wrote:
Shouldn’t we worry about the U.S. turning into a Mexico in the future? That
’s a far more realistic scenario than the one outlined in the article…
这个太靠谱了
再过100年中国还是中国人的中国
美国恐怕就成了墨西哥人的美国了
rule.
turning
New
【在 u***r 的大作中提到】
: http://blogs.wsj.com/economics/2010/12/29/is-mexico-chinas-futu
: By Bob Davis
: During the past 30 years, China’s growth has left Mexico’s in the dust,
: even though both countries have liberalized their economies, vastly turned
: to foreign trade and shed many of the constraints imposed by one-party rule.
: Indeed, Mexico has gone much further than China in the latter area, turning
: itself into a genuine democracy in the mid-1990s after decades of single-
: party control.
: Economists Timothy Kehoe of the University of Minnesota and Kim Ruhl of New
: York University explore in a paper just how difficult it is for a country
| g******e
发帖数: 998 | 11 "their financial systems are inefficient, their non-tradable industries (
communications, transportation and the like) lack competition; and their
rigid labor rules discourage employers from adding full-time workers."
............................................................... | z***o
发帖数: 1254 | 12 20年前这么说没问题，10年前这么说TG的金融系统也没问题。现在TG的金融系统再烂也
烂不过花街。花街那就是烂的下限，烂的极限， TG是没本事那么烂的。 金融危机后花街的人再跑去中国“指导工作”估计自己先得脸红。
【在 g******e 的大作中提到】
: "their financial systems are inefficient, their non-tradable industries (
: communications, transportation and the like) lack competition; and their
: rigid labor rules discourage employers from adding full-time workers."
: ...............................................................
|
|
