H******e
发帖数: 4682 | 1 如何判断一只股票的ER是beat或miss?
Thanks. |
x*********n
发帖数: 28013 | |
l*****7
发帖数: 2844 | |
g**********2
发帖数: 2408 | 4 华尔街主要是向前看。
预期很重要。
【在 H******e 的大作中提到】
: 如何判断一只股票的ER是beat或miss?
: Thanks.
|
H******e
发帖数: 4682 | 5 Thanks.
So, mainly it is to compare the ER with 华尔街预期? If earning in ER is
higher than 华尔街预期, then, it is beat? Otherwise, it is miss?
Where to find a stock's 华尔街预期, and its immediate ER?
【在 g**********2 的大作中提到】
: 华尔街主要是向前看。
: 预期很重要。
|
w***n
发帖数: 1519 | 6 "Beat" refers to beat WS's expectations; "miss" means miss expectations. It'
s that simple.
【在 H******e 的大作中提到】
: Thanks.
: So, mainly it is to compare the ER with 华尔街预期? If earning in ER is
: higher than 华尔街预期, then, it is beat? Otherwise, it is miss?
: Where to find a stock's 华尔街预期, and its immediate ER?
|
H******e
发帖数: 4682 | 7 Thanks.
Then, where to find a stock's 华尔街预期, and its ER when it just got
released?
It' s that simple.
【在 w***n 的大作中提到】
: "Beat" refers to beat WS's expectations; "miss" means miss expectations. It'
: s that simple.
|
w****k
发帖数: 10542 | 8 看不下去了。
大姐，别折腾了，教育好孩子更重要。
【在 H******e 的大作中提到】
: Thanks.
: Then, where to find a stock's 华尔街预期, and its ER when it just got
: released?
:
: It' s that simple.
|
g**********2
发帖数: 2408 | 9 您理会错了我的意思。是公司对下个季度的展望很重要。公司对下个季度的预期如果
miss了华尔街的估计是最致命的。一定要向前看，
我们散户喜欢往后看，这是一个很致命的弱点。
【在 H******e 的大作中提到】
: Thanks.
: Then, where to find a stock's 华尔街预期, and its ER when it just got
: released?
:
: It' s that simple.
|
x*********n
发帖数: 28013 | 10 哎。。我都忍不住了。
就这样你还敢每天看不起我，质疑我的炒股能力。
每个quarter，分析师都会有计算，有最高的，有最低的，然后会有一个综合的
estimate。
这个可以在任何大媒体上，公司网站，sec 最简单的broker给你的数据里面就会有。
如果预期比较低，那么beat的概率很大，如果预期很高，beat的概率很小。
这个beat根本不可预测，分析师都不知道，就是同样类型的公司beat了，下一个都可以
miss
再说，就算是beat了，也不代表今后3天一定会涨，or一定大涨。
beat的含义往往是给大庄家一个news题材来顺水推舟而已。公司还是这个公司，ER前后
没差别，是不是price in， you never know
【在 H******e 的大作中提到】
: Thanks.
: Then, where to find a stock's 华尔街预期, and its ER when it just got
: released?
:
: It' s that simple.
|
|
|
w***n
发帖数: 1519 | 11 You can find the information anywhere: yahoo, morningstar, reuters, your own
brokerage's stock research page, etc.
But it's useless. For a few of them, it's educated guess. For most, it's
purely guess and is as good as yours...
The best way to handle ER is not to participate at all, unless you have such
a huge profit cushion that it's okay for you to blow up a couple of ERs. It
can be quite dramatic. You should know it by now. It's funny that you have
gambled in quite a few ERs and still are interested...
【在 H******e 的大作中提到】
: Thanks.
: Then, where to find a stock's 华尔街预期, and its ER when it just got
: released?
:
: It' s that simple.
|
H******e
发帖数: 4682 | 12 Thanks very much. Yep, after playing ER a few times, I no longer play with
it now. However, still interested in knowing things. LOL
CMG's ER date is today, in its SEC section, where can I find its ER of today
? Where is WS's expectation?
own
such
It
have
【在 w***n 的大作中提到】
: You can find the information anywhere: yahoo, morningstar, reuters, your own
: brokerage's stock research page, etc.
: But it's useless. For a few of them, it's educated guess. For most, it's
: purely guess and is as good as yours...
: The best way to handle ER is not to participate at all, unless you have such
: a huge profit cushion that it's okay for you to blow up a couple of ERs. It
: can be quite dramatic. You should know it by now. It's funny that you have
: gambled in quite a few ERs and still are interested...
|
H******e
发帖数: 4682 | 13 Thanks very very much for all the big cows input.
For Example, CMG, today ER, is there any links of the ER today? Any link of
WS's expectation towards this ER quarter? Scottrade's links will be highly
appreciated. |
x*********n
发帖数: 28013 | 14 http://investing.businessweek.com/research/stocks/earnings/earn
yahoo， google。。。
你的broker界面里面的，是最简单的方式。
today
【在 H******e 的大作中提到】
: Thanks very very much for all the big cows input.
: For Example, CMG, today ER, is there any links of the ER today? Any link of
: WS's expectation towards this ER quarter? Scottrade's links will be highly
: appreciated.
|
w***n
发帖数: 1519 | 15 Quarterly report is 10-q, yearly report is 10-k. Companies won't give a **
to WS's expectations, not to the extent to write those into reports anyway.
Seriously, whyabk's suggestion is really good. You should take it...
today
【在 H******e 的大作中提到】
: Thanks very very much for all the big cows input.
: For Example, CMG, today ER, is there any links of the ER today? Any link of
: WS's expectation towards this ER quarter? Scottrade's links will be highly
: appreciated.
|
H******e
发帖数: 4682 | 16 Thanks. For example, CMG,
"公司对下个季度的展望", I can not find it in today's ER,
http://www.fortmilltimes.com/2013/02/05/2478953/chipotle-mexica
I can only find below, outlook for 2013:
Outlook
For 2013, management expects the following:
165 – 180 new restaurant openings
Flat to low single digit comparable restaurant sales excluding additional
menu price increases
An effective full year tax rate of approximately 38.5%
Is there anyway to compare with WS's expectation? Is it beat or miss?
http://investing.businessweek.com/research/stocks/earnings/earn
【在 g**********2 的大作中提到】
: 您理会错了我的意思。是公司对下个季度的展望很重要。公司对下个季度的预期如果
: miss了华尔街的估计是最致命的。一定要向前看，
: 我们散户喜欢往后看，这是一个很致命的弱点。
|
H******e
发帖数: 4682 | 17 Thanks.
So, the grey bar in the charts, I can consider it to be WS's expectation?
【在 x*********n 的大作中提到】
: http://investing.businessweek.com/research/stocks/earnings/earn
: yahoo， google。。。
: 你的broker界面里面的，是最简单的方式。
:
: today
|
H******e
发帖数: 4682 | 18 The child image beneath my ID looks like myself when I was little...
【在 w****k 的大作中提到】
: 看不下去了。
: 大姐，别折腾了，教育好孩子更重要。
|
x*********n
发帖数: 28013 | 19 yes，
if you move your mouse to grey bar，it would show estimated
for the past, it showed consenus.
To be honest, it is nothing. Because you don't have any access to insider.
【在 H******e 的大作中提到】
: Thanks.
: So, the grey bar in the charts, I can consider it to be WS's expectation?
|
g******8
发帖数: 990 | 20 高个bloomberg acct慢慢看啊
如何判断一只股票的ER是beat或miss?Thanks.
【在 H******e 的大作中提到】
: 如何判断一只股票的ER是beat或miss?
: Thanks.
|
C*******o
发帖数: 119 | |
