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发帖数: 29846 | 1 By DICK MORRIS
Published on DickMorris.com
on February 29, 2012
Did Romney eek out a victory in Michigan? No. He actually won by a hefty
margin. Did he lose blue collar voters, showing weakness in that key sector
? No. He carried them quite nicely.
So why don't the results reflect this? Because the primary was invaded by
Democrats who largely voted for Santorum. Had the Democrats not done so,
Romney would not have won a narrow 3 point victory in Michigan but would be
celebrating a 7 point comfortable victory.
According to the Fox News exit polls, 9 percent of the 1.1 million votes
cast in the primary were by Democrats who voted for Santorum over Romney by
53-18. 17 percent of these would-be spoilers voted for Paul and 3 percent
backed Gingrich. The remainder voted for Obama or an uncommitted slate in
the Democratic primary where they belonged.
Had these Democrats not cast ballots in the Republican primary for Santorum,
Romney would have been hailed as the easy winner last night.
We have to give Romney credit for an overwhelming win in Arizona and a
significant sized victory in Michigan in view of these results. But, more
importantly, we have to ask why these Democrats voted for Santorum.
Some of these Santorum voters were possibly pro-life Democrats who crossed
party lines because they feared that Romney might go back to his pro-choice
ways. But this was a most unusually large Democratic turnout when their own
party did not have a contest. (Witness that 90% of the Democrats who
participated voted in the Republican primary).
The turnout was, undoubtedly, deliberately orchestrated by the unions and
the formidable Michigan Democratic organization in the hopes of nominating
Santorum and upending Romney in his home state. It takes quite a bit of
effort to turn out 100,000 Democrats to vote in the Republican primary. Why
were the Democrats so intent on beating Romney and helping Santorum?
Rightly or wrongly, they - and the Obama high command - must believe that
Romney would be the tougher candidate to beat in November.
The opposition has clearly and unambiguously endorsed Santorum and indicated
its fear of Romney.
Shouldn't we listen to them? Isn't it important to take account of which
candidate the opposition fears? Do we want to give them a Republican
nominee they feel they can defeat or one of whom they are afraid?
Obviously, the Democratic chieftains believe that Santorum's position on
social issues will give Obama plenty to run against in a general election.
His opposition to contraception (although he does not want to make it
illegal) and to amniocentesis (which he says leads to abortion) would make
inviting targets for negative ads in the general election.
The Democrats want to run against Santorum.
Who are we to second guess their judgment and give them what they want? |
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